Sunday, October 23, 2011

TD #18

TD #18 has formed in the Western Caribbean and is expected to become tropical storm Rina fairly soon. The environment is not favorable at all for rapid development. I agree 100% with the NHC's top forecast of 60mph (I guess it could make it to a hurricane as intensity forecasting is tough to say the least). The further north it moves, the worst the upper air environment it will encounter. There is just too much dry air/shear in my opinion! Not seeing a big threat to the US at this time...

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