Well we didn't see any tornadoes tonight, but not for the lack of trying... We were all over the supercell just east of Little Rock, that eventually went north of Lonoke, AR... It was a beast of a supercell, but precip developing out in front of the storm cut the inflow off just as it was approaching Lonoke... This supercell did produce a tornado in South Bend, AR, which is about 8 miles WNW of Lonoke... We did as well as we could considering the HP nature/terrain/road network, but again precip developing in front of the supercell cut off the inflow...
Tomorrow looks to have a lot of potential... Like today if the clouds get out/stay out, then there is going to be several tornadoes... Add in the development of a surface low in south-central Arkansas, and things could get a little crazy... The 0z NAM is painting an area of 3,000-4,000 CAPE where the borders of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi come together.... The 0z GFS is painting an area of 2,000-2,500 CAPE in SE Arkansas... With sufficient low level shear, tornadoes are a good possibility... It's a little tough to do a thorough analysis on the road like this, but again the potential looks like it's there... I'll do some more analysis when we get to a hotel later tonight!
No comments:
Post a Comment