Long range forecasting of tropical systems: Never really right on point. It's really about how close to being right you are and how often you get close. Anybody with basic knowledge of how tropical systems behave should know there could be drastic shifts from one advisory to the next especially when it comes to intensity. No need to apologize. This happens across the board.Looking forward to the next episode.
Thanks Troy! I really appreciate that! You are 100% correct, but I still hate to be wrong... I did very well with Alex/Bonnie, but I know in forecasting you can't win them all... I always try to be humble, because I know I can study the weather everyday for the rest of my life and maybe know about 50% of what's going on... At same time, that's why I love it so much! The field is ever changing, and I always love the challenge! Thanks again for the kind words!