Sunday, July 25, 2010

Some Tropical Perspective!

2005 season... (1st all time) (28 named storms) (1 subtropical)

My good friend Justyn Jackson posted this on twitter today, but I wanted to pass it along on my blog as well... It puts some good perspective on this upcoming hurricane season!

In order for the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season to rank in the top - 5 all time (recorded), there will have to be 16 more tropical cyclones!

The number of tropical cyclones that have occurred after July 24th in the top - 5 most active Atlantic basin hurricane seasons are as follows:

2005 - 21 tropical cyclones after July 24th
1969 - 18 tropical cyclones after July 24th
1933 - 17 tropical cyclones after July 24th
1995 - 16 tropical cyclones after July 24th
1887 - 15 tropical cyclones after July 24th

Thanks to Justyn for this information!

Like Justyn stated on twitter, we are going to need 16 more tropical cyclones to make it to a top - 5 year (recorded)... I have never been on the bandwagon of a 2005 year, but I always thought this would likely be a top - 5 year, if not possibly a top - 3 year! In order to reach a top - 3 season all time (recorded), we are going to need 17 more tropical cyclones... Keep in mind during the 1969 hurricane season, which is 5th all time, Hurricane Camille didn't make landfall until very late in the night on August 17th... Again, just some more perspective! What's far more important is the impact to the US, which I think will be high due to the many factors I laid out over the last few months, especially the Atlantic tripole signature! Time will tell, but the statistics show 2010 can still be a top - 5 season... I expect August and especially September to be a HUGE months in the tropics! The MJO pulse will be back in favorable octants for tropical development after the first week or so of August!

1933 Season... (2nd all time) (21 named storms)

1995 season... (Tied 3rd all time) (19 named storms)

1887... (Tied 3rd all time) (19 named storms)

1969... (5th all time) (18 named storms)

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